Hoang Long Analyzes The Relationship Between 1X2 European Handicap And Asian Handicap
Hoang Long Analyzes The Relationship Between 1X2 European Handicap And Asian Handicap
On the odds board of every bookmaker, European odds (1X2) and Asian odds (Handicap) are always the two most popular choices. According to analyst Hoàng Long of ATM99, these are not two independent odds. They have a close mathematical relationship, and understanding this relationship is the key to “reading” the bookmaker’s intentions and making sharper judgments.
Hoang Long lays the foundation: Understand the true nature of European and Asian handicaps
Before going into in-depth analysis, we need to grasp the nature of each type of bet. Hoang Long always emphasizes that misunderstanding the original concept will lead to wrong analysis.
European Handicap (1X2): A game of pure probability
European odds, or 1X2 odds, are the simplest type of odds, reflecting three possible outcomes of a match:
- 1: Home team wins.
- X: The two teams tied.
- 2: Away team wins.
The accompanying odds (e.g. 1.85 – 3.50 – 4.20) represent the probability that the bookmaker assigns to each outcome. The lower the odds, the higher the likelihood and vice versa. He believes that this is the type of bet that reflects the bookmaker’s most “raw” and objective assessment of the strength of the two teams.
Asian Handicap: The Art of Balancing the Match
When there is a big difference in strength, the European handicap will have very low odds for the upper hand and very high odds for the lower hand, reducing the attractiveness. The Asian handicap was born to solve this problem. By giving a handicap, the bookmaker creates a more balanced virtual match, where both bets have a probability of winning approximately 50%.
Hoang Long considers Asian handicap as a “derivative” product, calculated based on the probability of European handicap.
The close relationship between the two types of bets according to Hoang Long’s analysis
Understanding the nature of the two types of bets, we can clearly see the inseparable connection between them. Hoang Long has spent a lot of time researching and pointing out the key points.
European handicap is the “root”, Asian handicap is the “branch”
As mentioned, the bookmaker will rely on the Win-Draw-Lose probability of the European handicap to calculate a reasonable handicap for the Asian handicap. For example, if the odds for the home team to win (1) are very low, it means that the bookmaker rates them much stronger, and therefore, they will have to accept a deep Asian handicap.
Why do you need to know how to convert between two types of bets?
Comparing and contrasting these two types of bets brings huge benefits:
- Check the odds: You can see if the Asian handicap is consistent with the European odds.
- Spot the Unusual: If there is a conflict between two types of bets, it could be a “trap” or a sign that the bookmaker is leaning towards an unexpected scenario.
- Improve your analytical skills: Understanding how bookmakers think will help you make better judgments. His experience at ATM99 shows that this is an important skill.
Reference conversion table from European Odds to Asian Odds from Hoang Long
Below is a highly referenced conversion table, compiled by Hoang Long based on experience in analyzing data from thousands of matches. This table shows the correlation between the upper odds of European Handicap and the handicap of Asian Handicap.
| European Odds (Winning) | Corresponding Asian Handicap (Reference) |
| 2.30 – 2.60 | 0 (Equal) |
| 1.90 – 2.20 | -0.25 (Handicap half a ball) |
| 1.70 – 1.85 | -0.5 (Half a goal handicap) |
| 1.55 – 1.65 | -0.75 (Handicap half a goal) |
| 1.40 – 1.50 | -1 (Handicap one draw) |
| 1.30 – 1.38 | -1.25 (Handicap one and a half goals) |
| 1.25 – 1.28 | -1.5 (Handicap one and a half goals) |
| 1.18 – 1.24 | -1.75 (Handicap one and a half two goals) |
| Under 1.18 | -2.0 or higher |
Instructions on how to read and use the conversion table
When you see a match with odds for the home team to win of 1.80 (1X2), based on the table above, you can expect the corresponding Asian Handicap to be -0.5. If the bookmaker offers a significantly different handicap, that is when you need to do a deeper analysis.
In-depth analysis: “Reading” the bookie through the correlation between 1X2 and Handicap odds with Hoang Long
This is the advanced part where Hoang Long ‘s experience really comes in. Spotting the anomalies between the two types of bets can reveal a lot.
Scenario 1: Asian handicap is “safer” than in theory
For example: European Odds are 1.50 (theoretical handicap -1), but Asian handicap is only -0.75.
- Interpretation by Hoang Long: This could be a sign that the bookie is not completely confident in a clear victory for the favorite team. Although they are rated to win (odds 1.50), it could be just a minimal victory. The underdog (+0.75) in this case could be a worthy choice.
Scenario 2: Asian handicap is “riskier” than in theory
For example: European Odds is 1.90 (theoretical handicap -0.25), but Asian handicap is -0.5.
- Interpretation by Hoang Long: The bookmaker is “challenging” players to bet on the favorite team. This shows a great confidence in the team’s ability to win. Smart money may be pouring into the favorite, forcing the bookmaker to raise the handicap to balance the odds.
Analysis of in-phase and out-of-phase fluctuations
- In-phase: When European odds decrease (confidence in the favorite increases) and Asian handicap also increases (deeper handicap). This is a stable and reliable signal.
- Out of phase: When European odds decrease but Asian handicaps remain the same or even decrease. This is a very dangerous “trap” sign, indicating that there is a contradiction in the bookmaker’s assessment.
Hoang Long’s advice when applying analysis at ATM99
To effectively apply this method, Hoang Long gives two important tips to players at ATM99 .
Always start your analysis from the European handicap
Always consider the 1X2 odds as a starting point. It gives you the most comprehensive and objective view of the bookmaker’s assessment. Then, compare it to the Asian odds to look for correlations and abnormalities.
Use ATM99 platform to track both types of bets simultaneously
A professional platform like ATM99 will always display both types of odds clearly and update them in parallel. This allows you to easily track fluctuations and make comparisons in the most convenient way, saving time and improving analysis efficiency.
Conclusion: Improve your betting thinking with Hoang Long’s method
Understanding and applying the relationship between European and Asian odds is not a “trick” but a top analytical skill. It helps you switch from emotional betting to making decisions based on logic and understanding the market. With the knowledge that expert Hoang Long has shared, hopefully you will have another sharp tool to improve your betting thinking.
